A roof overhead
Iqbal Mustafa

Printed in NEWS January 16, 2005


Quo Vadis
Whither are you Going

For this new series of columns, I have symbolically chosen the title from the call of the Roman guards when they addressed passers by: Quo Vadis, where are you going? In the previous series, 'Inside view' I took a retrospective approach, dilating upon many areas that affect our lives by dint of institutional management of the country. While responding positively many readers complained that I was finding faults but not proffering solutions.

In this series, I am taking a prospective view of things where we can look at the paths ahead and the choices available. There is no certainty in determining destiny but it certainly helps knowing a little about the paths ahead.

Iqbal Mustafa.
February 2004

After food, housing is a primary need of every person. There is nothing that traumatises a psyche than deprivation of these needs. While food is a consumable item and its costs are distributed continuously over time, housing is a large investment as one time expense. More over, as food influences mental and physical health, so does one's abode, only more so. While effects of eating habits are immediate and obvious, housing has a subtle and slow but profound influence on people's state of mind.

Pakistan is blessed with an ecology that naturally produces wholesome food with relatively little effort - one has to abuse rich, local cuisine to inflict ill-effects on oneself and that is the privilege of the affluent few - but the housing situation is in a state of shambles and degrades quality of life for most people. By 1998 census, 39% were kuchha houses, 40% semi-pukka houses and 21% pukka houses in the country. The housing backlog was 4.30 million units. The annual additional requirement is estimated around 570,000 housing units whereas the annual production is estimated around 300,000 housing units resulting in a recurring shortfall of 270,000 housing units annually, taking the household size as 6.6 persons and the occupancy per room as 3.3 persons, which is the worst, even by regional standards. To make up the backlog and to meet the shortfall in the next 20 years the overall housing production has to be raised to 500,000 housing units annually - a city the size of Multan every year.

Leaving aside the luxury of considering the qualitative aspects of architectural designs, insulation, ventilation, sanitation and other environmental factors, the quantitative shortage of housing facilities has staggering implications on wellbeing of the people on the national scale. The National Housing Policy approved by the Chief Executive and President in June 2001 laid out some macro policy measures to facilitate development of housing sector. It was followed by revision of credit policy for housing finance by the State Bank in July 2001. All the focus was on provision of credit and tax relief for individual house builders. Consequently, only the formal sector has benefited to a limited extend from these initiatives and helped fuel the heating up of the land markets (plots) in small pockets of elitist residential areas of major cities. Drastic reductions in returns on saving schemes and lower yields on bank deposits have caused massive diversion of capital to speculative transactions of plots and houses in urban, elitist areas.

These developments have moved the dream of owning a house further away for most people. Large Real Estate Developers are creating illusions of heavenly abodes for the rich and skimming off the wealth that is a product of privilege rather than productivity. Housing industry has become an investor's playground rather than a service industry. Residential property is a bloated asset rather than a utility. If the bubble bursts, colossal amounts of capital will be lost that could otherwise have gone into productive investments. Lower and middle class citizens remain deprived of easy and convenient house ownership, especially in the rural areas.

For every young family, owning is a house is the top priority of life. In all developed societies, there are smooth institutional arrangement for planning, construction, mortgaging of residential houses with secondary markets for resale and exchange of property. The insecurity that a dearth of such facility creates manifests in drastically lowered resistance to temptations of corruption. Moral values erode rapidly as the compulsion for a 'roof over head' drives officials to exploit power. The peer pressure and the status symbol of owning a house is too pervasive for ordinary mortals to resist.

Some agencies, like the armed forces, institutionalize the phenomenon by arranging provision of cheap plots through official schemes. Individuals do not have to soil their hands in corrupt practices but the social equity between services is violated blatantly as other institutions are unable to provide similar facilities to their cadres. Accumulation of wealth through such means then leads to avarice that has no end and distinction between legitimate and illegitimate becomes nebulous. Wags are saying that the military is planning to introduce 'Real Estate Management' as part of the basic course at the PMA.

The key elements of an effective housing policy are missing. It should begin by long term planning of cities and towns according to the particular demographics of the region. Provision of civic amenities to 50,000 villages in the country is costly and well nigh impossible. It cannot be left to the whims of MNAs and MPAs as political bribes. Satellite towns for rural populations need to planned, which are connected to main cities through fast public transport systems. These satellite towns need to have all the facilities of urban life. Public-private partnerships need to be created for development of residential areas under defined standards. Institutional arrangements have to be created through legal frameworks between housing developers in the private sector, financial institutions, buyers and local governments where each one has a defined role, rights, obligations, performance standards and incentives. The government can set standards and rules while taking responsibility for provision of trunk infrastructure (electricity, gas, communications etc.), developers can build settlements with civic amenities, banks can provide finance and buyers can take up mortgages.

There was a news item recently that a 'Developer's Package' is on the anvil with the State Bank that will prescribe rules for financing housing schemes through private developers under different arrangements. This would be a very positive step, quite belated actually, for stimulating growth of housing sector. However, usual pitfalls would need to be heeded. The formal, organised sector will quickly move in to exploit the facilities while the most deserving segments - the rural areas - will remain behind. Some sort of quota allocations will need to be placed for equity between upper and lower end markets of the housing sector. The provision of trunk infrastructure will have to be committed by public sector as part of the package otherwise private developers may find themselves on the wrong end of the stick that agencies like WAPDA, PTCL, SNGPL, SSGCL mete out to the public in cost overruns, delays and red tape.

Housing industry has to be separated from speculators cum investors' haven and turned into a regulated service utility. Every State owes this much to its people.

Iqbal Mustafa
email: mustafa@hujra.com
1020 words
13 January 2005