Those who have nothing to loose
Iqbal Mustafa

Printed in NEWS February 20, 2005


Quo Vadis
Whither are you Going

For this new series of columns, I have symbolically chosen the title from the call of the Roman guards when they addressed passers by: Quo Vadis, where are you going? In the previous series, 'Inside view' I took a retrospective approach, dilating upon many areas that affect our lives by dint of institutional management of the country. While responding positively many readers complained that I was finding faults but not proffering solutions.

In this series, I am taking a prospective view of things where we can look at the paths ahead and the choices available. There is no certainty in determining destiny but it certainly helps knowing a little about the paths ahead.

Iqbal Mustafa.
February 2004

If Baluch militants are attacking the State, verbally and physically, it means they do not have a stake in the country anymore. Stake holders will never destroy their own possessions no matter how deep the conflict.

"When you ain't got nothing, you got nothing to loose…" the famous last stanza from Bob Dylan's song of the sixties, 'Like a Rolling Stone' so vividly explains the desperation of a destitute person. Destitution can be of any dimension - economic, social, moral, political, whatever. It is relatively easier to countenance rationality with an affluent station in life, although US foreign policy direction under President Bush is enigmatically defying it. Perhaps that could be a case of intellectual destitution or a blaze of economic greed that is blinding the vision of the establishment and corporate America.

Western democracies are liberal political systems not based solely on free elections but also rule of law, the separation of powers and basic human rights, including private property, free speech and religious tolerance. In the west, these traditions of liberty and law developed over centuries, long before democracies came into existence. Today the US is taking upon itself to introduce a democratic order in the world per force and the consequences are less than encouraging in Iraq and Afghanistan. A crash course in history of democracy will prevent political do-gooders from believing that liberty can be brought about by democratisation alone.

Farid Zakaria, in his book 'Future of Freedom', challenges the blind pursuit of liberal democracy as a means to freedom of people in the third world countries. He argues that democracies can turn intolerant and elected officialdom can become suppressive with greater legal impunity, as evidenced in Pakistan so persistently.

The current situation in Baluchistan is instructive in the failure of the global process of development through removal of inequities, a fundamental that democracy promises but never fully delivers. Inter-country disparities have exacerbated intra-country inequalities in the poorer countries. After the Second World War, the end of colonisation transferred control of economies to powerful oligarchies in the third world countries ruling through western style bureaucracies and governance mechanisms. Also the fiscal and monetary mechanisms to regulate international trade were left in place. The western governments allowed themselves to be deluded by the illusion that the ruling elites in third world countries are in essence replicas of western counterparts and would deftly create a self-perpetuating spiral of growth through education, productivity, enhancement of disposable incomes and consumerism, as it had been done in the West, where political stability was to a large extent a function of credit-based consumer society.

A man with a credit card, a house and a car thinks twice before agitating for change; not so a penniless unemployed young man with no future. A man next to a warm hearth watching TV with well fed children feels no heartburn against Bill Gates with his billions. He may even have a stake in Microsoft shares. The case of a man on rickety bike with four children watching an official whiz past in a Mercedes is not so open hearted.

In rebuilding economies after the War, western societies had a deserved semblance of equitable distribution of wants, while in the third world countries the oligarchs laced their pockets with ill-gotten wealth and exploitation of masses. The developed world kept its eyes half shut to the failure of leaders of poor countries in developing liberal societies in exchange for geopolitical alliances in a bi-polar world and collusion of oligarchs in imposing inequitable global trading rules, creating room for exploitation of the resources of poor countries by richer ones. In many third world countries socialistic ideals took roots during the seventies and eighties but the socialist leaders were mostly using ideology as a new tool of exploitation. USSR exported the socialist 'do-it-yourself' political kits, slogans and all, to many despots around the world in a battle against capitalism. The fall of the Russian Empire set in disillusionment against socialism as a failed system.

Meanwhile many dictators, under capitalism, created a middle class that pressurised governments to open up political systems, which paved a foundation for democracies. Many South Asian and Latin countries followed this pattern of democratic growth. These dictators were not trying to create democracies but in modernising their countries they ended up doing so inadvertently.
Most Muslim countries did not follow this pattern and remained ensconced in repressive systems under demagogues. The dearth of liberty or economic well being bred resentments against the rulers whose retrogression was perceived to be countenanced by western powers for strategic support (as in case of Pakistan) or economic gains (as for oil producing Gulf States). The frustrated populist sentiments found new expression in resurgence of theological fundamentalism and the nineties witnessed the phenomenal growth of covert fanatical militant groups targeting the west as the real enemy. The rise of Taliban, Al-Qaeda and 9/11 is history that we all know. US is putting the cart before the horse in trying to democratise Muslim countries with historical links to the nebulous, State-less and anti-west creed of frustrated Muslims.

Fanaticism has a weakness of burning itself out in the long run out sheer fatigue (like Iran or Libya for instance) but for those who have nothing, like the Palestinians, there is no other path. Such fanaticism has time on its side because the cost-benefit ratio of covert insurgency is very high - Vietnam, Afghanistan and now Iraq for example).

The ring of desperation in the rhetoric of Baluchi nationalists is beginning to sound ominously familiar. And so is the belligerent tone of Pakistan's military establishment. While conceding to negotiate the demands of Baluchis, it is being implied that their backwardness is a consequence of their own inferiority of socio-economic evolution. It is a very dangerous posture as it also suggests that since they are not our equal in some ways, they don't have equal rights. There is a false assumption here that superiority is a state of existence instead of what it really is, a state of responsibility.

If Baluch militants are attacking the state, verbally and physically, it means they do not have a stake in the country anymore. Stake holders will never destroy their own possessions no matter how deep the conflict. I had written a few month ago about five fatal fault lines in the society - inter-provincial conflicts of interests was one of them. The government must take account of these fault lines and not let the fissures get so wide that it starts loosing stakeholders in the State of Pakistan. There are other fault lines where things could get worst in not too far a future. Dylan is right, there is nothing to loose for those who feel they have nothing. Enlightened self-interest would perhaps be a more urgent need for the present government than enlightened moderation.

Iqbal Mustafa
email: mustafa@hujra.com
Archives available at www.hujra.com
1080 words
17 February 2005