The Black Hole of Credibility Gap
Iqbal Mustafa

Printed in NEWS 18 April, 2004


Quo Vadis
Whither are you Going

For this new series of columns, I have symbolically chosen the title from the call of the Roman guards when they addressed passers by: Quo Vadis, where are you going? In the previous series, 'Inside view' I took a retrospective approach, dilating upon many areas that affect our lives by dint of institutional management of the country. While responding positively many readers complained that I was finding faults but not proffering solutions.

In this series, I am taking a prospective view of things where we can look at the paths ahead and the choices available. There is no certainty in determining destiny but it certainly helps knowing a little about the paths ahead.

Iqbal Mustafa.
February 2004

My columns about parliamentary system being untenable in Pakistan provoked a bitter response from one of my readers who wrote back saying, "When you speak of 'parliamentary system' you speak of FORM and not of SUBSTANCE. People are the substance and system the FORM. The problem as I see is that if you put a piece of crap in a container, any container, it would adopt the form of the container but will remain a piece of crap."

This evokes a very fundamental 'chicken or the egg' conundrum: Does people's value system define their political system or does a political system define the value system of the people? I have discussed this issue at length in my book, "Dysfunctional Democracy: A Case for an Alternative Political System". I quote, "Philosophically, there are two schools of thought with respect to constitutional development. The first and the more popular school seeks moral and intellectual solutions. It is held that an unhampered continuation of the democratic process will automatically lead to the creation of moral and intellectual standards required to run a viable democracy. The other school advocates institutional reforms in the political system on the grounds that morality and intellect is not a product of natural social evolution; at least not in a country of great economic disparities and low literacy rates. I tend to subscribe to the latter school of thought. Therefore, I consider constitutional reforms imperative. In today's world, the Institutions mould individual character; not vice versa. Most people lack the intellectual acuity and moral determination to originate political concepts and assert these on their environment. Instead, they conform to the prevalent norms and try to seek self-interests within the given system, without the involvement of moral or intellectual evaluations. Economic forces impel most people to join the relentless race of self-advancement. The outer edifice of social structures is plastered with hyperbole provided by each system - justifications and prejudices whitewashed and presented as beliefs."

In short, if it is the 'Substance' or the good sense of the people that determines good governance then, in fact, there is no need for a constitution and all we have to do is to elect wise and good persons to public office and leave all statecraft to their judgment without restraining them by a set of rules and regulations in the name of constitution. However it is with the recognition that such un-circumscribed and absolute power in the hands of any state functionary is not desirable have constitutions come into being. If the constitutional framework and rules cannot operate as checks and balances against abuse of power and to promote the greatest public good, then such a constitution is surely flawed.

Looking beyond the specific observation about democratic system made by a reader mentioned in the beginning, a far more serious predicament faces Pakistan today. Dearth of credibility in politicians is just one manifestation of it. The society has lost faith in almost everything including itself.
Democracy stands totally discredited and brings no more than a sarcastic snigger on most faces. The validity of the constitution is under perpetual enquiry in the courts, in the assemblies, talk shows and in the streets. The role of the military in politics is only endorsed by those who benefit from it. All elections held after 1971 have had deep shadows cast over them. The Judiciary is perceived as a hamstrung institution at the top and as an inefficient and exploitive agency at the lower tiers. Civil services have become synonymous with red-tape and discretionary irritants. Law enforcement agencies are seen as either ineffective or out right exploitive, even abettors of criminals. CBR is looked upon as an irrational ogre to be played hide and seek with. Public sector utility providers are management disasters; their inherent inefficiency and corruption has a parasitic existence on tax payers' subsidies. Intelligence agencies are perceived as manipulators of political acquiescence more than national security.

Information agencies, whether public or private do not inspire faith. Government statistics are taken with a large pinch of salt. Private sector media is manipulated by state authorities in no uncertain ways and means. The newspapers are known to harbour individual and ideological agendas and independent investigative reporting is conspicuous by its absence. However, individual columnists do enjoy a high level of freedom to express views but mostly in English press. Vernacular press remains chained to chauvinistic ideologies and commercial sensationalism. Most Pakistanis pay far higher credence to foreign news agencies.

Private sector fares no better. All large scale industries are uncompetitive and thrive on protectionism - pharmaceuticals, synthetic fibres, sugar, car manufacturers, and cement industry. Consumers carry the yoke of their exploitive existence.

Weakness of judicial remedies for resolving commercial disputes and ensuring good trade practices stifles investment, local and foreign. Joint ventures and partnerships are dicey. Small and Medium scale entrepreneurs are shy of collaboration and each one operates individualistically out of mistrust of fellow businessmen. So much so that most medium and large sized businesses disintegrate under laws of inheritance - kith and kin loath to trust each other.
Foreign policies are considered doctored by external forces. External forces, whether friends or foes are viewed as inherently dishonest. Even the pristine game of cricket is mired in doubts of match fixing and now, lo and behold, political manipulations. Hardly anyone believes that the current series between India and Pakistan is being played in a spirit of healthy competition and good faith.

Scepticism is a healthy component of democracies, as far as policies are questioned, not the intentions. The crisis we face is that of fundamental credibility of intentions. The President, the Prime Minister, the opposition parties, Dr. Qadeer Khan, the clergy, the courts, all ministries, gets tainted by conspiracy theories. We as a nation cannot help but see anything but conspiracies everywhere around us.

With opening up of media and greater freedom of expression, instead of building a rational and positive mindset to review situations and re-evaluate our beliefs on factual evidence we keep regressing into emotive hyperbole of doubts and disbelief. The ideology of Pakistan, even Quaid-e-Azam's political thoughts, our history as taught in text books and syllabi, is fraught with sceptical colours.

There is no smoke without fire, as the proverb goes. We have to ask ourselves what has brought us to the point where no one trusts anyone. Can a family, institution, a community or a society survive if there is no trust between its individuals and mutual suspicions prevail as a matter of rule? Are we just a paranoid society or is there some historical justification to communal scepticism.

Irrespective of explanations, the black hole of credibility gap is a fatal phenomenon. As long as it exists investors will not come here, friends will remain unreliable, enemies will not trust us and any good fortune and opportunities that come out way will be dissolved in to this black hole. If we do not begin to trust ourselves, how will others?

This is a national malaise festering since long, and now that we are at cross roads of history, we must take cognisance of it and scratch our heads about liberation from the debilitating black hole of incredulity.

Iqbal Mustafa
1200 words
17 April 2004