On the Whole….

Mian Sahib had just swept the poles with his ‘overwhelming’ majority in the spring of 1997. NEWS had arranged a high profile seminar on economy at P.C. Lahore where ‘consequential’ personalities were invited to spread their pearls of wisdom. Yours truly had the dubious honour of being one of them. In the last session, Mian Sahib’s finance guru was to grace the occasion. By chance I happened to be occupying the seat next to him. Taking advantage of the opportunity, I asked him if he was going to show Mian Sahib the true picture of the state of the economy; now that water is almost flowing over the bridge. With the infectious smile permanently frozen on his face which is the hallmark of his persona, he quietly whispered to me, “When will you grow up?”

That put me in my place instantly. Since then I have begun to equate growing up with abandoning a logical approach to life and donning glasses tinted with expediency according to the time and place. I tried hard but growing up was so full of teething troubles that I had to give up. The harshness of reality keeps blinding my eyes since I refuse to put on rose tinted glasses; like an imbecile.

The reality-connect that I brought to SMEDA as the new CEO in March, 1990, caught the fancy of the new regime and we were assigned tasks to conduct in-depth value chain analysis of various sectors of the economy, one after another. As we kept providing data-fodder to the ministries for their voracious appetites, SMEDA became the proverbial willing horse to be whipped by who ever up there needed a ‘vision’ or a ‘strategy’ – those glorified buzz words for ubiquitous ‘summaries’ that should be prepared by the ministries themselves for submission to the Cabinet or the Economic Coordination Committee or the CDWP of the planning commission for approvals. For once we had a government leadership that wanted uncoloured vision. What happened to the proposals is another matter because the executing bureaucracy wears glasses dark enough to stare away at the sun without blinking.

One day an assignment came in to assist the ‘Pensions and Pay Committee’ – a high powered committee to look into the rationalisation of the salary and pension structures of the government employees. This was highly complimentary to SMEDA, although nothing to do with SMEs. The idea was that since SMEDA had put together an efficient organisation based on good HR policies to induct motivated employees, the GoP may benefit from the experience.

We told the committee to revaluate GoP’s employment philosophy first, before going into a number crunching exercise. Apparently the salaries of government servants had been frozen since 1994 and this was year 2000. It had finally dawned to someone that inflation may have eroded the ‘real’ salaries over this time and there was a need to apply some incremental adjustment in salary structures; and so too with the pension scales. The GoP also wanted to incorporate some radical measures to make salary structures attractive for high quality human resource, while conducting the exercise. Some amazing figures came to light as we rummaged through basic data. Pakistan’s government employ’s some 3.5 million people, including the military, out of which the Punjab government has a payroll of some 1 million employees. About pensioners there was no exact data! We don’t really know how many people are receiving pension. The amount goes into billions.

Anyhow, our analysis began with employment philosophy which was a bit perplexing for most of the bean-counters sitting around the table. Our submission was quite simple: If you want good people you need to pay them adequately up front. Get out of the employment generation business and concentrate on efficient staff. Private sector employment philosophy is based on attraction, motivation and retention: Pay for performance, environmental and creature comforts with business focus, internal and external equity, continuous market adjustments for inflation and very low administrative costs.

In contrast the government’s employment policy is based on lifetime security, power oriented – high image, low cash, no external equity, minimum relevance to performance management, experience/time based movements, benefits packed salary structure and high administrative costs. 

We recommended a transition strategy for moving from one extreme of the spectrum to somewhere in the middle. That should include a hybrid of private and public sector philosophy based on fixed term employment, no career anchors or long term benefits, cash driven and a front end loaded package. In simple words it meant that in place of low paid, high powered, infinitely secured and ill equipped employees who cost twenty times more than their nominal pay, shift to high paid, performance driven, high risk and well equipped staff that costs exactly what shows on the salary registers. And we calculated that in net amounts the shift towards private sector policy will not cost the government more. A Grade 21 or 22 officer has a nominal basic salary of around Rs. 14,500 per month (take home may go up to thirty plus) but he/she costs the government over Rs. 300,000 per month to upkeep with all their perks and allowances. The government should monetise all their benefits and pay them cash while tagging their employment security to performance.

Now this would create a major upset in the books of accounts since one head would get inflated suddenly but that is another problem. There is a solution to that too! Support staff (grade 16 and below) account for 95 percent of salaries. The average ratio of officer to support staff (called entitlement) is five to seven support staff for one officer! This is Victorian! Reduce the ratio by half and you save 45 percent of the salary bill. The humungous savings can easily pay for monetisation of the reward structure for higher cadres. However, how do you change the mindset that man-power is officer-power. Bureaucracy measures its status by the number of staff their domains hold.

Then there were other anomalies! Government pays pensions out of yearly cash account; there is no provision of pension funds! More over, there are no accurate projections for future growth in number of pensioners either! It is assumed that an average retiree would draw pension for five years, where as I know at least two families where three generations are drawing pension. When we talked of creating a pension fund, it revealed that the back log is so huge as to make generation of reserves unaffordable for government budget. Secondly, more amazing, if the fund was to be created miraculously, no institution has the capacity to absorb such an amount for investment; it would require ten stock exchanges of Karachi to absorb it. That was a bad idea, sorry.

Finally after three years, in this year’s budget the government has announced an across the board salary rise of 15 percent for government servants. The bean counters must have been busy for so long crunching numbers to fit into a neat statistical order. Is 15 percent really effective? Well that’s reality.

A statistician was asked what would happen to a person if he was put in a boiler at 100 degrees for half an hour and then put in a freezer at minus 10 degrees for the next half an hour. He pulled out his calculator, punched in numbers and said, “He would be quite comfortable on the whole.”

Considering everything, they have done well to increase the salaries, on the whole I mean.

Iqbal Mustafa
30 August 2003

1240 words